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April 20, 2005

Census Bureau: Florida soon to surpass New York's population

Florida will pass New York to become the nation's third-largest state six years from now, according to new projections released today by the U.S. Census Bureau.

As of July 1, 2004, according to the Census Bureau, New York was home to 19.2 million residents, while Florida’s population was just under 17.4 million. Texas, which surpassed New York’s population in the early 1990s, was at just under 22.5 million as of 2004.

Neighboring and/or similar states such as Michigan, Illinois, Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Jersey are expected to grow much more rapidly than New York.

The Census Bureau estimates that between July 2004 and July 2015 New York's population will grow by 2 percent, compared to the national average of 10 percent. Florida's population is expected to grow by 22 percent during the same period.

The Census Bureau projects that only three states— Ohio, West Virginia and North Dakota— will show less growth than New York between 2004 and 2015.

New York is expected to add nearly 1.5 million residents aged 65 or older between 2000 and 2030, while the number of residents under 65 is projected to decline by about 967,000. The number of older residents is expected to rise nationwide, but the number of non-aged residents across the country will rise more, according to the Census Bureau.

Another recent set of data from the Census Bureau showed that much of Upstate New York has continued to lose population in recent years.

Twenty upstate counties lost population from July 2000 to July 2004, the Census Bureau said in numbers released April 14. Seventeen other Upstate counties had population growth of less than 1 percent during the period.

Table showing the Census Bureau's population projections through 2015.