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A closely watched index of employment expectations among
New York manufacturers “dropped markedly,” the
Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Buffalo Branch reported
in its latest monthly analysis.
The analysis found that the index for the average employee
work week, which The Wall Street Journal calls a
“telltale” for future hiring, dropped from 22.5
to 6.77. The index that reflects expectations for future hires
also dropped from 36.34 to 9.68. Both indicators continue
to reflect more employers with optimistic outlooks than negative
expectations. In addition, more employers reported adding
jobs than said they were reducing employment.
According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, manufacturing
employment in New York was 602,000 in June, down 17,000 from
a year earlier.
“Although the general business conditions index was
positive in August, it dropped nearly 25 points to 12.6,”
the Federal Reserve said. “Similarly, indexes for new
orders and shipments fell but remained positive, while the
unfilled orders index dropped below zero for the first time
in roughly a year.”
The lower numbers indicate that fewer factories are growing
or expanding.
The analysis also found that the number of manufacturers experiencing
a higher number of orders dropped from 46 percent to 34 percent
over the same period.
"While 46% of respondents had reported improved conditions
in July, only 28%- the lowest level in more than a year- did
so in August," the report said. "Sixteen percent
reported that conditions had worsened, compared with 10% last
month."
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