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A new study by scholars from New York University and Stanford
University concluded that a stock transfer tax would make
shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) less liquid
while substantially slashing trading volume and it said such
a tax would make other trading markets more important at the
expense of the New York market, shrink New York Stock Exchange
listings, drive down New York’s overall market quality,
and increase market-wide volatility of stock prices.
Yakov Amihud, from New York University, and Haim Mendelson,
from Stanford University, evaluated the effects of a proposed
stock transaction tax on stock liquidity, price discovery
and informational efficiency.
“A small rise in transaction costs on the NYSE will
make the NYSE a worse choice compared to its competitors and
will divert trading into other markets,” the paper said.
One of the key functions of a securities market is to provide
liquidity, according to the paper.
“That is, a securities market should enable traders
to buy and sell the traded instruments quickly and at low
cost.”
The paper demonstrated that low transaction costs contribute
to higher trading volumes. But a small tax could lead to a
decrease in volume of up to 11 percent in one day and would
result in a greater volume loss in the future, according to
the paper.
“A fixed per-share tax that hurts the NYSE today will
have devastating effects going into the future,” the
paper said.
The tax would also affect stock prices, according to the
paper.
“Increasing trading costs on stock makes investors
demand higher yield on the stocks,” the paper said.
“This makes companies’ cost of equity capital
rise and their stock prices fall. Or, lower stock trading
volume, which is the predictable result of higher trading
costs, is associated with higher cost of capital and lower
stock prices,” the paper said.
The tax would also have a negative effect on stock listing
decisions, the paper reported. The NYSE currently has a high
level of liquidity which is translated into a higher stock
value, according to the paper.
“Clearly, a tax will erode the advantages of the NYSE,
and will make firms less likely to list on the NYSE.”
The paper warned that the NYSE could eventually lose its
status as the leading stock market in the world if the tax
were enacted.
The union-based Working Families’ Party and other tax-and-spend
pressure groups that want dramatic increases in state spending
are pushing this short-sighted tax on stocks that trade in
New York State.
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