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For Release — Monday, June 2, 2003

STUDY SHOWS WHERE NEW YORK'S POPULATION GROWTH IS LAGGING THE NATION

ALBANY—New York continued to pull out of the population decline of the 1970s during the last decade, but growth in the state still lagged behind most of the country, according to a new report by The Public Policy Institute, the research affiliate of The Business Council of New York State.

While New York grew at less than half the national rate in the 1990s, its growth of 5.5 percent was more than double that the 1980s, the report shows. The state's growth in the 1990s ranked 42nd among the 50 states.

New York's population growth during the decade was "slow but real," said the report, New Yorkers at the Millennium. It was written by Paul Wing, president of Planning and Research Services, Inc.

The 1990s saw Texas usurp New York's place as the nation's second-most populous state. Census Bureau estimates show that, by 2020, New York will drop from third to fourth in population among the states behind Florida, the report said. Such a drop would reflect continuing movement of people from the Northeast and Midwest to the South and West.

"This is a trend that will be difficult to stop, let alone reverse," the report said.

The report also found that:

The report also studies a number of other demographic and economic trends including education, employment and income.

New Yorkers at the Millennium highlights the major industry shifts that have occurred in the state. Among these is the transition from manufacturing and to service jobs and the large number of people now employed in the government sector.

"Workers in industries and occupations on the decline are having difficulty making their way into the industries and occupation on the rise. Many people look back with nostalgia—and sometimes with anger—as the 'good old days' disappear from view," Wing said.

"As the complexity of our organizations and products increases, and as the pace of change accelerates, it will be increasingly important for corporations, government agencies, and educational institutions, to work together to retain and enhance our preeminent status in the evolving global economy."

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